A card drawing simulation with 100 trials
The average number of cards required to
find 1 copy of
the target card is 49.
Cards Drawn 
Games 
Sum 
1  5 
5 
5 
6  10 
4 
9 
11  15 
2 
11 
16  20 
5 
16 
21  25 
8 
24 
26  30 
3 
27 
31  35 
4 
31 
36  40 
4 
35 
41  45 
6 
41 
46  50 
8 
49 
51  55 
10 
59 
56  60 
6 
65 
61  65 
7 
72 
66  70 
5 
77 
71  75 
5 
82 
76  80 
3 
85 
81  85 
9 
94 
86  90 
6 
100 


Examples
I have 8 Information Highways in my 90 card deck; when
should I expect to draw at least 1?
Decksize = 90, Target = 8, Search = 0, Desired = 1
I have 12 Raptors and 6 Muricia's Call in my 90 card
deck; when should I expect to draw at least 7?
Decksize = 90, Target = 12, Search = 6, Desired = 7
I have 2 Anthelios and 1 Fortschritt Library in my 90
card deck; when should I expect to draw at least 1?
Decksize = 90, Target = 2, Search = 1, Desired = 1
I have 5 vampires with Dominate in my 12 card crypt;
when should I expect to draw at least 1?
Decksize = 12, Target = 5, Search = 0, Desired = 1