A card drawing simulation with 100 trials
The average number of cards required to
find 1 copy of
the target card is 47.6.
Cards Drawn 
Games 
Sum 
1  5 
2 
2 
6  10 
4 
6 
11  15 
11 
17 
16  20 
5 
22 
21  25 
7 
29 
26  30 
4 
33 
31  35 
7 
40 
36  40 
2 
42 
41  45 
5 
47 
46  50 
5 
52 
51  55 
3 
55 
56  60 
4 
59 
61  65 
9 
68 
66  70 
6 
74 
71  75 
7 
81 
76  80 
5 
86 
81  85 
5 
91 
86  90 
9 
100 


Examples
I have 8 Information Highways in my 90 card deck; when
should I expect to draw at least 1?
Decksize = 90, Target = 8, Search = 0, Desired = 1
I have 12 Raptors and 6 Muricia's Call in my 90 card
deck; when should I expect to draw at least 7?
Decksize = 90, Target = 12, Search = 6, Desired = 7
I have 2 Anthelios and 1 Fortschritt Library in my 90
card deck; when should I expect to draw at least 1?
Decksize = 90, Target = 2, Search = 1, Desired = 1
I have 5 vampires with Dominate in my 12 card crypt;
when should I expect to draw at least 1?
Decksize = 12, Target = 5, Search = 0, Desired = 1